Table of Contents
As Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we’re constantly seeking that winning formula to dominate our mini-leagues and rise up the overall rankings. As Gameweek 5 approaches, the stakes are higher than ever, and making informed decisions is the key to success.
In this comprehensive guide, we delve into the data, crunch the numbers, and unveil the essential insights you need for Gameweek 5. We’ll explore the clean sheet odds for each team, identify the likely anytime scorers, and provide FPL points projections to help you fine-tune your squad for optimal performance.
Premier League Fixture Analysis – A Look At Predictions
Now, let’s delve into some GW5 Premier League fixture analysis. In this analysis, we’ll examine predictions and odds to gain insights into which teams are expected to perform well in this round of games.
1. Premier League Clean Sheet Odds Gameweek 5
Here are the teams expected to keep clean sheets in GW5 in the Premier League
| Team | Clean Sheet Odds |
|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur (TOT) | 50% |
| Fulham (FUL) | 44% |
| Newcastle (NEW) | 42% |
| Manchester City (MCI) | 40% |
| Liverpool (LIV) | 40% |
| Arsenal (ARS) | 40% |
| Chelsea (CHE) | 36% |
| Nottingham Forest (NFO) | 36% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | 38% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | 22% |
| Burnley (BUR) | 23% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | 17% |
| Brighton (BHA) | 18% |
| Luton (LUT) | 18% |
| West Ham United (WHU) | 13% |
| Brentford (BRE) | 14% |
| Everton (EVE) | 14% |
| Manchester United (MUN) | 25% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (WOL) | 11% |
| Sheffield United (SHU) | 9% |
According to the clean sheet odds predictions, it’s apparent that Spurs, Fulham, Man City, Liverpool, and Arsenal are all anticipated to secure clean sheets in GW5, as indicated by their favorable clean sheet odds.
As FPL managers, it’d be a good strategy to target defenders from these sides. To find out the best defenders to transfer in, check out our article: FPL Gameweek 5 Transfer Tips, Differential Picks and Team Selection
2. Premier League Teams With Over 2 Goals% In GW5
Here are the Premier League sides expected to score 2 goals or more in their match-up this gameweek.
| Team | Over 2 Goals % |
|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur (TOT) | 50% |
| Liverpool (LIV) | 45% |
| Manchester City (MCI) | 40% |
| Chelsea (CHE) | 33% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | 27% |
| Fulham (FUL) | 29% |
| Manchester United (MUN) | 29% |
| Newcastle (NEW) | 38% |
| Arsenal (ARS) | 38% |
| Nottingham Forest (NFO) | 23% |
| Brighton (BHA) | 22% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | 11% |
| Burnley (BUR) | 13% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | 13% |
| Brentford (BRE) | 9% |
| Luton (LUT) | 8% |
| West Ham United (WHU) | 9% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (WOL) | 9% |
| Everton (EVE) | 9% |
| Sheffield United (SHU) | 6% |
This insight is valuable for FPL managers, as it helps them determine which teams to acquire players from. A wise strategy would be to select midfielders and forwards from teams expected to score two goals or more.
Spurs, Liverpool, and Man City lead the way in this aspect. Players like Son, Maddison, Foden, Alvarez, and Salah are all excellent FPL choices for this week.
3. Gameweek 5 Premier League Win Probability
Here are the teams most likely to come out with a victory in the Premier League in GW5:
| Team | Win % |
|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur (TOT) | 78% |
| Liverpool (LIV) | 71% |
| Manchester City (MCI) | 69% |
| Arsenal (ARS) | 65% |
| Newcastle (NEW) | 65% |
| Chelsea (CHE) | 59% |
| Fulham (FUL) | 60% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | 52% |
| Manchester United (MUN) | 44% |
| Nottingham Forest (NFO) | 49% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | 25% |
| Brighton (BHA) | 31% |
| Burnley (BUR) | 29% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | 21% |
| Brentford (BRE) | 17% |
| Everton (EVE) | 17% |
| Luton (LUT) | 20% |
| West Ham United (WHU) | 15% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (WOL) | 14% |
| Sheffield United (SHU) | 9% |
For more gameweek 5 predictions make sure to check our article: Premier League Gameweek 5 Score Predictions: Expert Analysis
4. FPL Points Projections
Anticipating the points your players are likely to earn can guide your captaincy choices and substitutions. Here are the expected points for selected players in different positions:
Defenders:
| Player | Expected Points | Price | Ownership Percentage | Fixture |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander-Arnold | 6.0 | 7.9m | 12.6% | vs. Wolves (A) |
| Udogie | 6.2 | 4.7m | 13.6% | vs. Sheffield Utd (H) |
| Chilwell | 5.3 | 5.8m | 33.2% | vs. Bournemouth (A) |
| Trippier | 5.0 | 6.5m | 30.4% | vs. Brentford (H) |
| Pedro Porro | 5.1 | 5.0m | 5.2% | vs. Sheffield Utd (H) |
| Romero | 4.9 | 4.7m | 12.9% | vs. Sheffield Utd (H) |
| Gusto | 4.9 | 4.2m | 12.5% | vs. Bournemouth (A) |
| Cash | 4.8 | 4.6m | 14.7% | vs. Crystal Palace (H) |
If you’re on a wildcard, then feel free and check out some of the best wildcard teams in our article: GW5 Wildcard: 15 Of The Best Players For Your Gameweek 5 Wildcard
Midfielders:
| Player | Expected Points | Price | Ownership Percentage | Fixture |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Son | 7.5 | 9.1m | 10.2% | vs. Sheffield Utd (H) |
| Maddison | 7.1 | 7.8m | 26.5% | vs. Sheffield Utd (H) |
| Salah | 6.7 | 12.5m | 25.8% | vs. Wolves (A) |
| Saka | 6.0 | 8.7m | 65.7% | vs. Everton (A) |
| Foden | 6.0 | 7.6m | 13.8% | vs. West Ham (A) |
| Ødegaard | 5.8 | 8.5m | 21.3% | vs. Everton (A) |
| Sterling | 5.9 | 7.2m | 16.4% | vs. Bournemouth (A) |
| Martinelli | 5.1 | 7.9m | 10.4% | vs. Everton (A) |
| Mbeumo | 5.1 | 6.8m | 27.0% | vs. Newcastle (A) |
Find out if Son is great GW5 transfer in our article: Over 369,501 FPL Managers Transfer Son Heung-min Ahead of GW5? Here’s Why
Forwards:
| Player | Expected Points | Price | Ownership Percentage | Fixture |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland | 8.9 | 14.1m | 91.9% | vs. West Ham (A) |
| J. Alvarez | 6.4 | 6.7m | 13.6% | vs. West Ham (A) |
| Darwin | 5.2 | 7.4m | 10.9% | vs. Wolves (A) |
| N. Jackson | 5.1 | 7.2m | 19.6% | vs. Bournemouth (A) |
| Isak | 5.1 | 7.7m | 27.5% | vs. Brentford (H) |
| Watkins | 4.4 | 8.0m | 21.5% | vs. Crystal Palace (H) |
| Ferguson | 4.6 | 6.0m | 7.8% | vs. Man Utd (A) |
Ferguson is currently in the top five of the most transferred in players this gameweek, find out why in our article: Is Evan Ferguson a Good FPL GW5 Transfer? Here’s What You Need to Know
Check out Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Spurs, Newcastle and Man United Predicted Lineups here:
Arsenal vs. Everton Predicted Lineup, Injury News and Tactical Insights GW5
Man City vs. West Ham Predicted Lineup, Injury News, Tactical Analysis PL GW5
Man United vs. Brighton Predicted Lineup, Injury News and Tactical Insights GW5
GW5 Wolves vs Liverpool Match Preview, Predicted Lineup and Injury News
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth Predicted Lineup, Injury News and Tactical Insights GW5
Spurs vs. Sheffield United Predicted Lineup, Injury News and Tactical Insights GW5
Newcastle vs. Brentford Predicted Lineup, Injury News and Tactical Insights GW5
More predictions article by us:
- Uncover Aston Villa’s Tactical Masterplan! Predicted Lineup, Injury News, and Tactical Analysis for Their Clash with Crystal Palace – Dive In!
- You can also check out: Fulham vs. Luton Town GW5 Predicted Lineups, Injury News and Tactical Analysis
All odds and predictions are gotten from drafthound
Redeyedrae, is an FPL content writer with years of experience in playing and writing about FPL. He has written for major FPL blogs like ALLABOUTFPL, Fantasytipsters, FF Titans, and nevermanagealone. With his deep knowledge of the game, he has become a trusted source for FPL fans worldwide. His content is well-researched and always up-to-date. He’s passionate about helping FPL managers gain an edge in their leagues by sharing insights and analysis about everything fantasy football on raensports.
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