Fixture analysis is a vital part of FPL, helping managers identify teams with favorable upcoming matchups. To assess a team’s fixtures effectively, we use Fixture Difficulty Ratings (FDRs). Developed by FPL experts, FDR is a complex algorithm that ranks each Gameweek opponent’s perceived difficulty for teams.
FDR is based on a set of formulas that process key Opta data variables and each team’s home and away form over the past six matches. FDR helps FPL managers plan their squad selection and transfers by providing an indication of their players’ upcoming fixture difficulty. A lower FDR indicates an easier fixture, while a higher FDR indicates a more difficult fixture.
In this article, we will analyze Gameweek 13 fixtures using FDR to identify teams and players that FPL managers should target and avoid. So, let’s get right into it.
FPL GW13 Fixture Analysis
As discussed earlier, we will use Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) to identify teams with favorable upcoming fixtures. The following table highlights the teams with the best set of fixtures in Gameweek 13 and beyond:
We can see from the FDR table that there has been a major swing in the fixtures of most teams. In the previous six gameweeks, teams such as Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa, Arsenal, and Liverpool all had relatively good fixtures with low FDRs.
Teams to Target Based On Fixture Difficulty Rating(FDRs)
Based on Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR), the following teams have the most favorable fixtures from Gameweeks 13 to 18:
- Burnley have the best fixtures overall, with five of their next six matches having an FDR of 2.
- Nottingham Forest are in second place with regard to their upcoming fixtures. Four of their next six matches have an FDR of 2, which is also very favorable.
- West Ham is another team with great fixtures, with four of their next six matches having an FDR of 2. They are also likely to perform well in these matches.
- Bournemouth have four matches with an FDR of 2 in their next six, with the other two matches having an FDR of 3 and 4, respectively. They are another team that FPL managers should target for Gameweeks 13 to 18.
- Newcastle have the least favorable fixtures of the five teams listed above, but their fixtures are still relatively easy. Three of their next six matches have an FDR of 2, and the other three matches have an FDR of 3.
The teams we have just mentioned have great fixture difficulty ratings (FDRs). However, there is more to analyzing team fixtures in FPL. Another important metric is team form. In the next section, we will look at which teams you should target based on their form.
Teams to Target Based On Recent Form
Recent form is another metric to use as FPL managers when deciding on what teams to target. Here are the teams that have been perfoming really well in their last couple of games:
Based on the image above, we can see that Manchester United, Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal, Aston Villa, Everton, Brentford, and Tottenham Hotspur have been performing well in recent gameweeks. However, it is important to note that these teams with good recent form do not have great fixtures with good FDR.
One reason for this could be that these teams have already played their favorable fixtures in the last six gameweeks. Therefore, as FPL managers, we should not sell players from these teams outright. Rather, we should balance our selections by including players from teams with both good form and good fixtures.
Players To Target For FPL Gameweek 13 – Teams with Good FDR
So far, we’ve seen the teams with great fixtures and teams that are in great form. It is now time for us to look at what players you should target from each team. We’d be starting with teams with good FDR:
- Burnley: Koleosho
- Nott’m Forest: Awoniyi, Morgan Gibbs White and Elanga
- West Ham: Jarrod Bowen
- Bournemouth: Solanke
- Newcastle: Gordon, Trippier, Isak/Wilson(if fit)
Players To Target For FPL Gameweek 13 – Teams with Good Recent Form
Now, from teams with great recent form, here are the players to target:
- Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes, Hojlund
- Liverpool: Mo Salah, Darwin Nunez, Tsimikas
- Manchester City: Erling Haaland, Alvarez
- Arsenal: Saka, Nketiah, Zinchenko
- Aston Villa: Diaby, Watkins
- Everton: Doucooure, Calvert Lewin
- Brentford: Mbeumo
- Spurs: Son, Brenan Johnson, Pedro Porro.
GW13 Player Picks Dilemma
In this article, we have used two metrics to identify the best teams and players to target for our fantasy football squad: fixture difficulty rating (FDR) and form.
However, these metrics are not enough to answer all the questions we might have. For example, what if there is a gameweek where all the top teams face each other? How do we choose the best players from these matches? How do we balance our team between players from different teams and positions?
These are some of the challenges that we will face in gameweek 13, which is a very unusual and tricky gameweek. To illustrate this, let us take a look at the fixture list for gameweek 13:
As you can see, gameweek 13 features some of the most exciting and competitive matches of the season. We have the clash of the titans between Manchester City and Liverpool, the battle of the blues between Chelsea and Newcastle, the London derby between Brentford and Arsenal, the clash of the underdogs between Tottenham and Aston Villa, and the showdown between Everton and Manchester United.
These are all teams that have been performing well in recent matches, and have some of the most in-form players in the league. How do we pick the best players from these matches, without compromising our team’s balance and budget? This is the question that we will try to answer in the next section of this article.
Here are some of the questions and dilemmas that FPL managers have ahead of gameweek 13:
Q: What should I do with my Spurs assets?
A: If you have any Spurs players in your fantasy football team, you could still hold on to them Son in particular. However, as for their defenders, I think it is time to sell them.
Q: What should I do with my Newcastle defenders?
A: Newcastle defenders are also not a good option for gameweek 13 and beyond given their injury situation. Newcastle have a difficult match against Chelsea, who are in decent form. If you have any of their assets, we’d reccomend benching them this gameweek. Do not sell just yet, a few of their players could still return.
Q: Who are the best captain choices for gameweek 13?
A: Choosing the right captain for gameweek 13 can be tricky, as there are no obvious candidates. However, there are some players who might be worth considering, based on their form, fixture, and popularity. Here are some of the possible captain choices for gameweek 13:
- Mo Salah
- Erling Haaland
In this article, we have analyzed the fixtures, form, and players of the teams in the Premier League for gameweek 13. We have used two metrics to identify the best teams and players to target for our fantasy football squad: fixture difficulty rating (FDR) and form. We have also discussed some of the dilemmas and questions that FPL managers have ahead of gameweek 13, and provided some possible solutions and tips.
We hope that this article has helped you prepare your FPL team for gameweek 13, and that you have enjoyed reading it. If you have any feedback or suggestions, please leave a comment below. Thank you for reading and good luck in gameweek 13!
Redeyedrae, is an FPL content writer with years of experience in playing and writing about FPL. He has written for major FPL blogs like ALLABOUTFPL, Fantasytipsters, FF Titans, and nevermanagealone. With his deep knowledge of the game, he has become a trusted source for FPL fans worldwide. His content is well-researched and always up-to-date. He’s passionate about helping FPL managers gain an edge in their leagues by sharing insights and analysis about everything fantasy football on raensports.